Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 2663.256049 2882.208489 3104.144737 3345.638930 3600.694235 3861.752994 4148.839247
2025-01-12 2297.082985 2621.885213 2963.640359 3348.836817 3769.700647 4214.382286 4718.540848
2025-01-19 1991.084027 2369.194809 2778.674834 3252.629456 3783.604418 4357.679140 5022.781694
2025-01-26 1881.499985 2313.391500 2791.745270 3356.805335 4001.914903 4711.402720 5546.530568
2025-02-02 1773.847053 2246.525883 2780.696446 3423.131345 4168.741826 5000.901901 5993.741586
2025-02-09 1645.370018 2144.196875 2718.889059 3421.900812 4250.452139 5187.828140 6320.109127
2025-02-16 1520.875047 2037.369585 2643.507902 3397.002344 4297.911382 5330.054475 6591.036889
2025-02-23 1443.417433 1981.844414 2624.162428 3433.971649 4414.377058 5549.825370 6950.524745
2025-03-02 1353.838816 1905.508573 2574.492255 3429.763119 4477.946961 5704.729333 7232.310605
2025-03-09 1298.760941 1869.010111 2570.673354 3478.807413 4603.723186 5932.365297 7600.145220
2025-03-16 1212.945135 1788.204859 2507.279872 3450.274536 4631.695100 6040.551370 7823.995150
2025-03-23 1176.937443 1770.176628 2521.408206 3517.197829 4776.259259 6289.342488 8217.670885
2025-03-30 1120.883418 1723.822180 2498.376395 3537.234686 4863.937966 6471.688450 8535.574057
2025-04-06 1061.679244 1670.371670 2463.810529 3540.684705 4929.733627 6627.059170 8821.587250
2025-04-13 966.106182 1562.063773 2352.517658 3440.432937 4860.191646 6611.826106 8895.355835
2025-04-20 956.786830 1573.668841 2400.773801 3548.987356 5058.182918 6931.105617 9384.999269
2025-04-27 933.707374 1564.301367 2419.668779 3618.082148 5205.238331 7187.129321 9797.481963
2025-05-04 887.086931 1518.687236 2387.101256 3616.800377 5259.634676 7325.608501 10063.044984
2025-05-11 835.044768 1462.595810 2337.787293 3590.864115 5280.052428 7419.799382 10272.385764
2025-05-18 807.588660 1441.691792 2336.500730 3629.373613 5385.065424 7622.222356 10619.480040
2025-05-25 768.014194 1400.582608 2305.012872 3624.989973 5432.016539 7749.488726 10871.135528
2025-06-01 747.898383 1388.306661 2313.942099 3676.071370 5553.139281 7973.097578 11247.060020
2025-06-08 704.671944 1338.037136 2266.204350 3646.354292 5564.034350 8052.576353 11437.642803